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Opinion · Analysis
▪ Special Report · The American Desk

Trump, Year Two —
a critical ledger

A sourced accounting of the second term: executive power, the courts, tariffs, health and the press. Every figure cited.

Since his inauguration on 20 January 2025, President Trump has governed at a pace and reach that his critics call an assault on institutional guardrails — and his supporters call decisive. This page takes the critical view, but holds itself to one rule: every claim below is sourced, and the numbers are the ones on the record, not the ones that make the point loudest.

// 01

By the numbers

0
Executive orders signed in the second term
as of Apr 2026 · Ballotpedia
0
Tariff refunds ordered after the Supreme Court struck down IEEPA duties
Mar 2026 · court order
0
More Americans projected uninsured by 2034 under the OBBBA
CBO · CBO / CAP
0
US rank on the 2026 world press-freedom index — an all-time low
RSF · RSF 2026
// 02

A timeline of the term

20 Jan 2025

Day one: a wave of orders

Withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement, an attempt to end birthright citizenship, an asylum shutdown at the southern border and expanded detention — all signed within hours.

2 Apr 2025

"Liberation Day" tariffs

Sweeping reciprocal tariffs on nearly all imports, imposed under an emergency-powers law — the move a federal appeals court, and later the Supreme Court, would rule unlawful.

22 Jun 2025

US bombs Iran's nuclear sites

Strikes on Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan during the Israel–Iran war, ordered without a congressional vote. A leaked defence-intelligence report later contradicted the "obliterated" claim, putting the setback at months, not years.

4 Jul 2025

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act

The term's signature law: deep Medicaid cuts (more than $900bn over a decade) alongside tax cuts weighted to the wealthiest households.

Sources: Congress.gov · CAP
1 Aug 2025

The chief statistician is fired

After a weak jobs report, Trump dismissed the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics — a move critics warned politicised the government's independent economic data.

1 Oct – 12 Nov 2025

The longest shutdown in US history

A budget standoff shut the federal government for 43 days — the longest on record.

Source: EY
Oct–Dec 2025

Troops in the cities

National Guard deployments to Washington, Los Angeles, Portland and Chicago over the objections of Democratic mayors. Courts split; in December the Supreme Court refused to let the Chicago deployment proceed, and Trump pulled troops from three cities.

Sources: SCOTUSblog · CNN
3 Jan 2026

Strikes on Caracas; Maduro seized

A US military operation bombed the Venezuelan capital and captured President Nicolás Maduro, flying him out to face charges — again without a congressional vote.

20 Feb 2026

The Supreme Court reins in the tariffs

By 6–3, the Court held the president cannot impose tariffs under the IEEPA emergency law. Trump replaced them within hours using a different statute; a judge later ordered a ~$130bn refund process.

Feb 2026

Iran, again

Despite having declared Iran's programme "obliterated" in June, the administration launched fresh strikes — reviving fears of a wider war.

Source: CNN
// 03

Where the pressure falls

Press freedom

Courts as a weapon

The administration's approach to the press has moved from insults to legal and regulatory pressure: multi-billion-dollar suits against major outlets, FCC licence reviews, and the defunding of public broadcasters.

RSF logged 170+ attacks on journalists in 2025 — nearly double the prior year — and dropped the US to 64th worldwide.

Rule of law

The military at home

Deploying the National Guard into US cities over local objections tested a rarely used power. Courts divided sharply; a Trump-appointed judge in Oregon ruled against the Portland deployment, and the Supreme Court declined to green-light Chicago.

Healthcare

Coverage rolled back

The OBBBA cuts federal Medicaid by more than $900bn over ten years. The CBO projects about 10 million more uninsured by 2034; marketplace premiums have already jumped 58% from 2025 to 2026 as enhanced subsidies lapsed.

Executive power

Rule by order

With 254 executive orders and hundreds of memoranda and proclamations, much of the agenda has bypassed Congress — leaving policy unusually exposed to reversal in the courts, as the birthright-citizenship and tariff cases show.

"…deeply concerned with a federal government that threatens universities."
— Barack Obama, Hamilton College, 3 April 2025 · NBC News
// 04

Follow the story

Sources

This is a critical analysis. Figures are drawn from the outlets and institutions below; where estimates vary, the cited range is used. Last reviewed August 2026.
  1. Ballotpedia — Trump executive orders & actions, 2025–2026. ballotpedia.org
  2. EY — Trump at one year: key developments. ey.com
  3. Holland & Knight — Supreme Court strikes down IEEPA tariffs (20 Feb 2026). hklaw.com
  4. Penn Wharton Budget Model — tariff ruling & potential refunds. budgetmodel.wharton.upenn.edu
  5. Fox News — judge orders ~$130bn tariff refund process (Mar 2026). foxnews.com
  6. SCOTUSblog — Court rejects Guard deployment in Illinois. scotusblog.com
  7. CNN — Trump withdraws Guard from Chicago, LA, Portland. cnn.com
  8. Center for American Progress — OBBBA one year on (CBO: 10M uninsured; premiums +58%). americanprogress.org
  9. Congress.gov (CRS) — OBBBA health-coverage provisions. congress.gov
  10. RSF — United States country page & 2026 index (US 64th; 170+ attacks). rsf.org
  11. Al Jazeera — US falls to historic low in RSF index. aljazeera.com
  12. Axios — Trump media & defamation lawsuits surge. axios.com
  13. Poynter — the numbers behind attacks on the press in 2025. poynter.org
  14. NBC News — Obama says he is "deeply concerned" (Hamilton College, 3 Apr 2025). nbcnews.com
  15. Washington Post — where Trump has ordered strikes (Iran, Venezuela). washingtonpost.com
  16. Wikipedia — 2025 US strikes on Iranian nuclear sites. wikipedia.org
  17. Wikipedia — 2026 US intervention in Venezuela. wikipedia.org
  18. PBS — fact-check of Trump’s justifications for strikes on Iran. pbs.org