ASIA PACIFIC GEOPOLITICAL RIVALRY SHAPES TRADE AND SECURITY

Asia-Pacific politics in 2026 is being driven by intensifying US–China rivalry, with both powers competing for control of sea lanes, chokepoints, and strategic islands. Trade patterns are also shifting as the region deepens integration within ASEAN and other Asia-Pacific partners while reducing dependence on geopolitically distant markets. Security concerns remain centered on Taiwan, the South China Sea, and maritime routes such as Malacca and Luzon, where control affects energy flows and supply chains. The broader regional outlook points to more fragmented trade, greater military preparedness, and stronger emphasis on economic resilience.