US-CHINA RIVALRY DRIVES ASIA-PACIFIC GEOPOLITICS AND SECURITY IN 2026

The US-PRC rivalry is the dominant force shaping political, strategic, and economic dynamics across the Asia-Pacific in 2026, driving regional security priorities and economic governance. Washington and Beijing are intensifying competition while instability persists on the Korean Peninsula and China addresses internal vulnerabilities. The Quad has evolved into an operational architecture with new initiatives including a $20 billion Critical Minerals Initiative and expanded maritime surveillance cooperation. Meanwhile, ASEAN faces internal strain as member states diverge between those facing direct Chinese coercion and those dependent on Chinese economic engagement.