The EU's enlargement agenda, dormant since Croatia joined in 2013 and Brexit scarred the bloc, is roaring back. Western Balkans nations like Montenegro edge toward accession, propelled by Russia's Ukraine invasion and US disengagement. A Peterson Institute event underscores how geopolitics now trumps old bureaucratic hurdles.
European Commission Director-General Gert Jan Koopman highlights a 'new context' fostering bolder enlargement strategies. Candidates must reform, but Brussels is streamlining processes to integrate stable partners faster, fortifying Europe's eastern flank against hybrid threats.
Ukraine's plight amplifies urgency: integration talks could stabilise the region, diluting Moscow's influence. Yet, internal EU divisions persist—some fear diluting cohesion, others see enlargement as vital for strategic depth in a Trump-led world.
By 2026, expect breakthroughs: accelerated timelines for frontrunners and geopolitical criteria reshaping criteria. Success hinges on unity; failure risks a fragmented neighbourhood ripe for exploitation. Enlargement isn't charity—it's Europe's insurance policy.
